{"id":875,"date":"2010-03-30T13:15:06","date_gmt":"2010-03-30T05:15:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiangge.andrewsun.net\/?p=875"},"modified":"2010-11-13T17:55:57","modified_gmt":"2010-11-13T09:55:57","slug":"%e8%bd%ac%e5%9f%ba%e5%9b%a0%e5%86%9c%e4%b8%9a%e5%92%8c%e9%ab%98%e6%af%92%e5%86%9c%e8%8d%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andrewsun.net\/panta_rhei\/archives\/875","title":{"rendered":"\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"kcite-section\" kcite-section-id=\"875\">\n<p><span style=\"float: left; padding: 5px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.researchblogging.org\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"ResearchBlogging.org\" src=\"http:\/\/www.researchblogging.org\/public\/citation_icons\/rb2_mid.png\" style=\"border:0;\"\/><\/a><\/span><span class=\"Z3988\" title=\"ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&#038;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&#038;rft.jtitle=Science&#038;rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1126%2Fscience.1189247&#038;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fresearchblogging.org&#038;rft.atitle=Food+Security+for+a+Billion+Poor&#038;rft.issn=0036-8075&#038;rft.date=2010&#038;rft.volume=327&#038;rft.issue=5973&#038;rft.spage=1554&#038;rft.epage=1554&#038;rft.artnum=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sciencemag.org%2Fcgi%2Fdoi%2F10.1126%2Fscience.1189247&#038;rft.au=Lele%2C+U.&#038;rfe_dat=bpr3.included=1;bpr3.tags=Biology%2CSocial+Science%2CAgriculture\">Lele, U. (2010). Food Security for a Billion Poor <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Science, 327<\/span> (5973), 1554-1554 DOI: <a rev=\"review\" href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1126\/science.1189247\">10.1126\/science.1189247<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>3\u670826\u65e5\u8fd9\u671f<i>Science<\/i>\u7684\u793e\u8bba\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u60f3\u5230\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\u589e\u6536\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8fd9\u4e48\u7d27\u8feb\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u662f\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d8a\u662f\u79d1\u666e\u843d\u540e\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u58f0\u97f3\u4e0d\u591a\u5143\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u4e89\u8bae\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u8fde\u4e89\u8bae\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u81f3\u5c11\u4e0d\u5904\u4e8e\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u63a8\u5e7f\u76ee\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bb3\u4eba\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u62a8\u51fb\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u5b83\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u8d5a\u94b1\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8ddf\u6838\u6280\u672f\u4e0e\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0d\u592a\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u6838\u6280\u672f\u4e0d\u597d\u4e0d\u574f\uff0c\u4f46\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u662f\u7528\u6765\u6740\u4eba\u7684\u3002\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u6280\u672f\u4e0d\u597d\u4e0d\u574f\uff0c\u4f46\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bb3\u4eba\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9020\u798f\u4eba\u7684\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u7126\u70b9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u6015\u5b83\u597d\u5fc3\u505a\u574f\u4e8b\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5bb3\u4e86\u4eba\u3002\u8bf4\u5b83\u5f71\u54cd\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u4e5f\u662f\u62c5\u5fc3\u5bb3\u4eba\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u4f1a\u5173\u5fc3\u597d\u591a\u5149\u5e74\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u6f58\u591a\u62c9\u661f\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u7684\u6559\u7236\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u76f8\u4fe1\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u5207\u5b9e\u589e\u4e86\u4ea7\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u662f\u7eaf\u6148\u5584\u884c\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u8d5a\u94b1\u8425\u5229\uff08\u54ea\u6015\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5bf9\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u4eba\u683c\u7684\u8ba4\u540c\uff08\u54ea\u6015\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u6ca1\u6709\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e3a\u5e02\u9762\u4e0a\u6240\u6709\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u4f5c\u4ec0\u4e48\u4eba\u683c\u62c5\u4fdd\uff09\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u662f\u5426\u5f71\u54cd\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u79d1\u666e\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\uff0c\u505a\u5f97\u66f4\u5c11\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u66f4\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u6781\u5c11\u4eba\u901a\u8fc7\u53cd\u9a73\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u6297\u866b\u5bb3\u3001\u589e\u4ea7\u3001\u589e\u8425\u517b\u7b49\u7b49\u8bf4\u8bcd\u6765\u53cd\u5bf9\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\uff0c\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u4e3b\u8981\u653b\u51fb\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u201c\u8d5a\u5927\u94b1\u201d\u53ca\u5176\u201c\u751f\u6001\u540e\u679c\u201d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u524d\u8005\u5df2\u88ab\u5927\u91cf\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u662f\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u3002\u751f\u6001\u540e\u679c\u662f\u6c38\u8fdc\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u751f\u6001\u5708\u4e0d\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u63a7\u5236\u4e0b\u7684\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u79d1\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3002\u5728\u751f\u6001\u5708\u5c42\u9762\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6c38\u8fdc\u53ea\u80fd\u7b49\u4e8b\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\u4e4b\u540e\u5438\u53d6\u6559\u8bad\uff0c\u6c38\u8fdc\u53ea\u6709\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u4efd\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4efd\u3002\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u8033\u719f\u80fd\u8be6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6ef4\u6ef4\u754f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6709\u672c\u4e66\u53eb\u300a\u5bc2\u9759\u7684\u6625\u5929\u300b\u3002\u201c\u5403\u4e00\u5811\uff0c\u957f\u4e00\u667a\u201d\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u5403\u4e00\u5811\uff0c\u5c31\u675c\u7edd\u6240\u6709\u5811\u201d\u5219\u7edd\u5bf9\u65e0\u89e3\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u662f\u4e0d\u8ba8\u8bba\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0d\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e0a\u5e1d\u5b58\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u603b\u662f\u6b7b\u6b7b\u6293\u4f4f\u5df2\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u8bc1\u5b9e\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u6765\u5ba3\u4f20\uff0c\u5373\u201c\u589e\u4ea7\u3001\u6297\u866b\u3001\u2026\u2026\u201d\u4e91\u4e91\uff0c\u5374\u5728\u201c\u8d5a\u94b1\u201d\u548c\u201c\u751f\u6001\u540e\u679c\u201d\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u6c89\u9ed8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u4e89\u8bae\u6bd4\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u89e3\u51b3\u6e29\u9971\u201d\u3002\u5728\u6240\u8c13\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\uff08Sub-Saharan Africa\uff09\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u8d2b\u56f0\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u544a\u8bc9\u5b83\u4eec\u8bf4\u201c\u53ea\u6709\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u7684\u7ed9\u4f60\u4eec\u5403\u201d\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e89\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u7bc7<i>Science<\/i>\u793e\u8bba\u6307\u51fa\uff1a<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a 2&deg;C increase in temperature could lead to a further 20 to 40% fall in cereal yields, mostly in Asia and Afica. Lifting a billion people out of poverty and feeding an extra 2.3 bilion by 2050 will require increasing cereal production by 70%, doubling the output of developing countries. In sub-Saharan Afica, where more &#8220;ultrapoor&#8221; live, dveloping technologies to boost productivity is especially difficult because of greater threats from pests and deseases, poorer soil, and drought.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u8bf4\u4e2d\u56fd\u89e3\u51b3\u6e29\u9971\uff0c\u5c1a\u4e14\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u4eba\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u3002\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u5230\u201c\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u6e29\u9971\u201d\u7684\u56fd\u5ea6\u91cc\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u8d5a\u94b1\uff1b\u4f46\u5b83\u7ec8\u7a76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u5177\u4ee5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5229\u76ca\u4e3a\u76ee\u7684\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u662f\u50cf\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e00\u4e9b\u6781\u5176\u8d2b\u56f0\u7684\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7626\u9aa8\u5982\u67f4\u7684\u513f\u7ae5\u3002\u518d\u8005\uff0c\u8d2b\u56f0\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u6027\u5934\u53f7\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u9053\u548c\u6148\u5584\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5173\u4e4e\u548c\u5e73\u7406\u60f3\u80fd\u5426\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u7684\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u89e3\u51b3\u6e29\u9971\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5404\u5927\u5a92\u4f53\u6307\u5b9a\u52a8\u4f5c\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u59d1\u4e14\u627f\u8ba4\u6b64\u8bdd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e5f\u662f\u5df2\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u5728\u540c\u6837\u5e7f\u9614\u7684\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u66f4\u52a0\u6076\u52a3\uff0c\u589e\u4ea7\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u756a\u4e86\u597d\u51e0\u756a\uff0c\u589e\u4ea7\u7684\u7d27\u8feb\u6027\u4e5f\u540c\u65f6\u756a\u4e86\u597d\u51e0\u756a\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u7684\u5fc3\u6001\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e49\u52a1\u4e3a\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u6e29\u9971\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002\u6742\u4ea4\u6c34\u7a3b\u6280\u672f\u6ee1\u8db3\u4e0d\u4e86\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u4f46\u80fd\u6ee1\u8db3\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c31\u884c\u4e86\u3002\u54ea\u6015\u8fd9\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u7d27\u8feb\uff0c\u4f46\u518d\u6b21\u6839\u636e\u8bb8\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u5fc3\u6001\uff0c\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u624d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u867d\u7136\u662f\u4e1a\u754c\u7684\u4f7c\u4f7c\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6ca1\u5fc5\u8981\u53c2\u4e0e\u5230\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e2d\u53bb\uff08\u6682\u4e0d\u8ba8\u8bba\u8881\u9686\u5e73\u5feb\u5230\u4e86\u9000\u4f11\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u4e86\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u770b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u4f17\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u6240\u611f\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u60b2\u54c0\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u559c\u6b22\u968f\u968f\u4fbf\u4fbf\u5730\u8bf4\u4e00\u53e5\u201c\u975e\u6d32\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0a\u996d\u5462\u201d\u6765\u56de\u907f\u793e\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5927\u5927\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u3001\u5177\u4f53\u5fae\u89c2\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9996\u5148\u8981\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u540c\u4e86\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9996\u5148\u8981\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u94b1\u6709\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0d\u7528\u4e3a\u751f\u6d3b\u5954\u6ce2\u4e86\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u4e49\u52a1\u5173\u5fc3\u8eab\u8fb9\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5982\u679c\u771f\u6b63\u53bb\u8003\u8651\u201c\u975e\u6d32\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0a\u996d\u201d\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u597d\u591a\u4eba\u53ea\u662f\u8bf4\u8bf4\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u201c\u975e\u6d32\u4eba\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0a\u996d\u201d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u8ddf\u81ea\u5df1\u5207\u8eab\u9047\u5230\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u7684\u6ee5\u7528\u800c\u53d8\u5f97\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u6240\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u2014\u2014\u201c\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f\u201d\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u51e0\u53e5\u8bdd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e26\u8fc7\u3002\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u4f4e\u4ef7\u519c\u836f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8c01\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7528\u9ad8\u4ef7\u7684\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f\uff1f\u4f4e\u4ef7+\u9ad8\u6bd2\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u7b49\u4e8e\u201c\u597d\u4ea7\u54c1\u201d\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u5df2\u7ecf\u201c\u88ab\u201d\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u6e29\u9971\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u611f\u53d7\u4e0d\u5230\u9965\u997f\uff0c\u4e5f\u611f\u53d7\u4e0d\u5230\u7cae\u98df\u589e\u4ea7\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5f88\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u201c\u9ad8\u6bd2\u519c\u836f\u201d\u4f1a\u5982\u6b64\u6709\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u53c8\u516c\u5f0f\u6027\u7684\u628a\u95ee\u9898\u7ea0\u7ed3\u5230\u201c\u9053\u5fb7\u201d\u8fd9\u79cd\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u60f3\u8c61\u5982\u679c\u662f\u5728\u975e\u6d32\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kcite active, but no citations found -->\n<\/div> <!-- kcite-section 875 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lele, U. (2010). 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\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u4e89\u8bae\u6bd4\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u89e3\u51b3\u6e29\u9971\u201d\u3002\u5728\u6240\u8c13\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\uff08Sub-Saharan Africa\uff09\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u8d2b\u56f0\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u544a\u8bc9\u5b83\u4eec\u8bf4\u201c\u53ea\u6709\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u7684\u7ed9\u4f60\u4eec\u5403\u201d\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e89\u8bae\u3002 \u8fd9\u7bc7Science\u793e\u8bba\u6307\u51fa\uff1a According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a 2&deg;C increase in temperature could lead to a further 20 to 40% fall in cereal yields, mostly in Asia and Afica. 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